全球价值链位置越趋于上游,产业增加值率就越高吗?
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(上海社会科学院,上海 200020)

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黄烨菁,上海社会科学院世界经济研究所研究员,研究方向:世界经济;李锦明,上海社会科学院研究生院博士研究生,研究方向:世界经济。

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F42

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国家社会科学基金项目“应对全球高新技术产品供应链重塑的思路与路径研究”(项目编号:23BGJ008)。


The Higher Upstreamness of the Position in Global Value Chain Is, the Higher Industry’s Value-added Rate Will Be?
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    摘要:

    全球价值链位置是评判产业竞争地位的重要依据,单独采用价值链上游度衡量价值链分工位置可能导致误判。本文解析了制造业全球价值链位置与行业投入产出增加值率之间存在的非线性关系,基于“两分法”的思路构建了一个与产业全球价值链位置水平相关联的增加值率度量分析框架。研究发现,中国整体制造业的增加值率经历了从第一阶段(2007~ 2013年)的上游供给端主导到第二阶段(2013~ 2018年)的下游需求端主导的转换;行业异质性分析发现,精炼石油产品制造业(上游行业)的上游供给端增加值率上升带动了实际增加值率上升,电子信息产品制造业(中游行业)的上游供给端增加值率与下游需求端增加值率的变化具有较大反差性,汽车制造业(下游行业)的上游供给端增加值率与下游需求端增加值率均呈现提高态势。本文构建的度量方法对深入认识中国制造业全球价值链位置的经济学内涵具有理论创新价值。

    Abstract:

    The position in the global value chain (GVC) is a critical criterion for evaluating industrial competitiveness. Solely using the upstreamness of the value chain to measure the division of labor in the GVC may lead to misjudgments. This paper analyzes the nonlinear relationship between the GVC position of the manufacturing industry and the sector’s input-output value-added rate. It constructs a value-added rate measurement and analysis framework based on a dichotomy approach, linking it to the industry’s GVC position level. The paper finds that the overall value-added rate of China’s manufacturing industry transitioned from being dominated by the upstream supply side in the first phase (2007~2013) to being dominated by the downstream demand side in the second phase (2013~2018). The industry heterogeneity analysis reveals that the upstream supply-side value-added rate in the refined petroleum products manufacturing industry (an upstream industry) drove the actual value-added rate upward. In the electronics information products manufacturing industry (a midstream industry), there is a significant contrast between the changes in the upstream supply-side value-added rate and the downstream demand-side value-added rate. In the automobile manufacturing industry (a downstream industry), both the upstream supply-side value-added rate and the downstream demand-side value-added rate show an upward trend. The measurement method constructed in this paper has theoretical innovation value for understanding the economic implications of the GVC position in China’s manufacturing industry.

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黄烨菁,李锦明.全球价值链位置越趋于上游,产业增加值率就越高吗?[J].国际商务研究,2025,(5):41-57

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-08
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