| 摘要: |
| 《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》（RCEP）作为亚太地区的贸易协定，势必产生巨大的贸易效应。聚焦于全球制造业，通过 GTAP模型模拟了 RCEP对世界制造业分工的影响，发现 RCEP对世界制造业分工格局存在显著影响，其建成将进一步提高亚洲地区在全球的地位；RCEP不仅会促进中国制造业出口增加，提高世界市场占有率，还有利于向全球价值链上游攀升。此外，RCEP对世界制造业分工格局的影响在细分行业上存在一定差别。研究结论为中国制造业如何抓住区域贸易协定机遇，努力向全球价值链中高端攀升提供了一定的参考价值。 |
| 关键词: RCEP 制造业分工格局 增加值贸易 GTAP |
| DOI： |
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| 基金项目: |
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| The Impacts of RCEP on the Division Structure of World Manufacturing |
| DU Yunsu,LIU Yanping |
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| Abstract: |
| As an important trade agreement in the Asia-pacific region, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is bound to produce huge trade effects. This paper mainly focuses on the global manufacturing industry and simulates the impact of RCEP on the global manufacturing division through the GTAP model. We find that RCEP has a significant impact on the global manufacturing division pattern, and its completion will further improve the position of Asia in the world. RCEP will not only boost China’s manufacturing exports and increase its share of the world market, but also help it move up the global value chain. In addition, the influence of RCEP on the division structure is different in the segmentation of industries. The conclusion of this paper provides a certain reference for Chinese manufacturing industry to seize the opportunity of RCEP to upgrade GVC positon. |
| Key words: RCEP division structure of manufacturing industry value-added trade GTAP |
