| 摘要: |
| 从2010年到2012年，韩国与美国、欧盟签署的自贸协定先后生效，中国—东盟和韩
国—东盟自贸区的经济效应也逐步显现，这都使中韩两国的进出口结构和产业结构发
生一定变化，进而影响到中韩自贸协定的经济效应。本文将已经生效的自贸协定的关
税减让情况和中韩两国可能作为关税减让的例外部门考虑在内，采用GTAP模型对中
韩自贸区的经济效应进行了再研究，从国内生产总值、进出口和生产部门3个方面比较
了中韩自贸协定经济效应的变化情况，从而为我国制定相关谈判战略提供更加准确的
数据支撑。 |
| 关键词: 中韩自贸协定 GTAP模型 经济效应 谈判策略 |
| DOI： |
| 投稿时间：2013-02-01 |
| 基金项目:中央高校基本科研业务专项资金资助，北京语言大学校级科研项目“自贸协定(FTA)对东亚生产网络的影响
研究”（项目编号：12YBB10） |
|
| Reevaluation of the Economic Effect of China-South Korea FTA :Based on GTAP Model |
| WANG Lin |
|
| Abstract: |
| From 2010 to 2012, China and South Korea launched inter-governmental negotiations. South Korea
also signed FTAs with US and EU. The effect of China-ASEAN FTA and South Korea-ASEAN FTA also worked
gradually, which leads to the adjustment of import and export structure and industrial structure in China and South
Korea and will affect the economic effect of China-South Korea FTA. Considering the concession of tariffs in the
FTAs that have been signed and taken effect by China and South Korea and their different sensitive products, this
paper uses GTAP model to re-simulate the economic effect of China-South Korea FTA. The changes of the effect
of China-South Korea FTA are analyzed from three aspects: GDP, import and export, and different industries,
which will provide more accurate data support for China’s FTA negotiations. |
| Key words: China-South Korea FTA GTAP model economic effect negotiation strategy |
