| 摘要: |
| 随着德国“工业 4.0”和“中国制造 2025”的提出，高端制造业的发展逐渐成为世界的焦点。中国与德国同为制造业大国，作为国家战略性新兴产业，中德高端制造业的贸易地位愈加显著。通过近 10年中德高端制造业进出口贸易数据的灰色关联分析发现，影响中德高端制造业进出口贸易的因素十分广泛，对外直接投资等与中国从德国进口高端制造业产品的贸易额为强度关联；高等院校入学率等与中国对德国出口高端制造业产品的贸易额为强度关联。本文据此提出推进中德高端制造业贸易进一步发展的建议。 |
| 关键词: 灰色关联 高端制造业 “一带一路” |
| DOI： |
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| 基金项目:2018年度贵州省软科学项目“贵州省高新技术产业发展研究”(项目编号:黔科合支撑 [2018]20014)；贵州财经大学 2017年度在校学生科研资助项目“一带一路战略对中德制造业影响预测及对策研究——基于GTAP模型的分析”。 |
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| Grey Relational Analysis of Factors Affecting High-end Manufacturing Trade |
| ZHANG Jun,FENG Chen |
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| Abstract: |
| With the introduction of“Industry 4.0”and“Made in China 2025”, the development of high-end manufacturing has gradually become the focus of the world. China and Germany, which is located at the terminal of the Belt and Road Initiative, are both big manufacturing countries. As the country’s strategic emerging industries, Sino-German high-end manufacturing’s trade position has become increasingly prominent. Through the grey correlation analysis of Sino-German high-end manufacturing import and export trade data in the past ten years, it can be found that the factors affecting Sino-German high-end manufacturing import and export trade are very extensive, and outward foreign direct investment is strongly related to the trade volume of China’s high-end manufacturing products imported from Germany. Institutional enrollment rate is strongly related to the trade volume of China’s high-end manufacturing products exported to Germany. Based on this, the paper puts forward some suggestions to promote the further development of Sino-German high-end manufacturing trade. |
| Key words: grey connection high-end manufacturing the Belt and Road Initiative |
